New York, February 12, 2026, 09:27 EST — Premarket
- Valaris jumped 10.8% Wednesday, closing at $88.42, and was steady near $88.4 in early premarket action
- Following Valaris’ agreed all-stock sale to Transocean, Fitch and S&P placed its credit ratings on negative watch
- Traders are eyeing Valaris’ Feb. 19 earnings report for new insights on the deal and the outlook through 2026
Valaris Limited (NYSE: VAL) shares barely moved in premarket trading Thursday, after surging 10.79% the day before to close at $88.42. The stock hovered near $88.4, with investors still betting on a potential takeover rather than the company continuing solo. 1
The credit outlook changed sharply in the last day. Fitch put Valaris’ ‘B+’ issuer rating on Rating Watch Negative, signaling a potential downgrade. S&P Global Ratings followed suit, placing Valaris’ ‘B+’ issuer rating and ‘BB’ issue ratings on CreditWatch Negative. Both moves serve as clear warnings that a downgrade might be coming. 2
This matters now because the deal is shaping the tape. In an all-stock takeover, the target’s shares typically track the buyer’s stock, as merger-arbitrage funds seek to profit from the difference between the trading price and the deal’s implied value. The watch items introduce another factor: if agencies downgrade ratings, assumptions around financing and risk appetite can shift quickly.
Transocean announced Monday it plans to acquire Valaris in a $5.8 billion all-stock deal, aiming to expand its offshore rig portfolio while reducing leverage. “We know that our debt level negatively impacts our equity value. This transaction addresses that,” Transocean CEO Keelan Adamson said during a conference call. 3
Valaris shareholders are set to receive a fixed 15.235 Transocean shares for every Valaris share under the deal. The companies estimate the pro-forma enterprise value, which factors in debt, at roughly $17 billion. Together, they would operate a fleet of 73 rigs. The merger is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approval. Valaris CEO Anton Dibowitz called the move a way to “create a new industry leader.”
Some industry experts view the deal as just another move in an already packed market. Leslie Cook, principal analyst at Wood Mackenzie, noted that Transocean would “solidify” its standing in high-spec ultra-deepwater and rank among the top five players in high-spec jack-ups once the merger closes. 4
Regulators and shareholders now face a stack of paperwork. According to a Valaris 8-K filing, the companies struck a business combination agreement on Feb. 9.
Offshore drilling rivals also saw movement. Transocean shares climbed roughly 10% in premarket action, and Noble gained around 5%, fueling ongoing discussions about sector consolidation and dayrates.
But these trades crumble once their core assumptions fail. If Transocean’s stock dips, Valaris’s implied value drops alongside it; if approvals stall, the spread may widen. The longer-term risk remains intact—offshore demand still depends heavily on oil prices and the spending limits of customers.
Valaris is set to drop its fourth-quarter results on Feb. 19, ahead of the NYSE opening, followed by a conference call at 10 a.m. ET. Investors will focus on any updates regarding fleet utilization and dayrates, along with new information about the timeline for the Transocean deal moving toward a shareholder vote. 5
