Telstra share price ends higher on ASX as oil shock rattles markets — what to watch next for TLS

Telstra share price ends higher on ASX as oil shock rattles markets — what to watch next for TLS

March 2, 2026

Sydney, March 2, 2026, 18:12 AEDT — After-hours

  • Telstra shares closed roughly 1% higher on Monday, outpacing the broader market, which finished flat.
  • Telstra didn’t lodge any new filings with the ASX on Monday, keeping the market’s focus on its capital return plans.
  • Oil’s volatility is in focus for traders heading into Tuesday, along with eyes on the March 27 dividend payout.

Telstra Group Limited closed out Monday with shares up roughly 1% at A$5.23, hitting intraday levels from A$5.16 to A$5.23, Investing.com data show.

Timing’s in play here. Investors kicked off the week reacting to a new geopolitical shock—oil surged, inflation jitters came roaring back, and the result: money started moving into defensive names packed with dividends.

Australian shares barely budged. The S&P/ASX 200 eked out a 0.03% gain Monday, as strength in energy names counterbalanced softness in other sectors, Investing.com reported in its market wrap.

Telstra didn’t post any fresh statements to the ASX on Monday. The stock’s action appeared driven by traders adjusting positions rather than a catalyst from Telstra itself.

Back in late February, Telstra delivered more than analysts were looking for on interim profit, boosted its interim dividend to 10.5 Australian cents, and bumped up its on-market buyback to as much as A$1.25 billion. “The on-market share buyback is expected to support earnings and dividend per share growth,” Chief Executive Vicki Brady said at the time. Reuters

According to Telstra, shares went ex-dividend on Feb. 25, with the record date landing the next day, Feb. 26. The interim dividend is set to be paid out March 27, based on the company’s investor calendar.

Telstra investors are eyeing Tuesday’s trading to see if the prevailing “risk-off” mood sticks around. The Australian dollar has come under fresh pressure as traders respond to episodes of risk aversion sparked by the Iran conflict and volatile energy prices, according to Reuters. Reuters

If stocks settle down, focus probably reverts to fundamentals—how fast buybacks are happening, how solid the earnings look, and whether the shares keep their bid ahead of the cash dividend date.

Defensive stocks like Telstra aren’t immune to fast reversals. Should oil prices drop and the market pivot to growth or cyclicals, Telstra’s backing could evaporate—regardless of what’s happening inside the company.

March 27 marks the next key date for Telstra, with its interim dividend scheduled to be paid. Before then, traders are likely to keep a close watch on global headlines, tracking oil-related swings and any new developments in capital management.

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