Ferrovial Traders Wait as Monday Brings Nasdaq-100 Test

Ferrovial Traders Wait as Monday Brings Nasdaq-100 Test

May 31, 2026

MADRID, May 31, 2026, 15:03 CEST

Ferrovial N.V. starts the trading week with little move after ending Friday at 58.70 euros in Madrid, up 0.55% on the day and 0.41% for the week. The BME is closed for the weekend. Friday’s trading hit 2.96 million shares, almost double the 20-session average, according to MarketScreener.

Monday’s open is shaping up as one to watch. Ferrovial’s Nasdaq shares ended the session at $68.01, down 0.4%. About 1.29 million shares changed hands. Investors now weigh the slight slip in New York at the close against how Ferrovial finished the week in Madrid, where the tone was firmer.

Valuation was the sticking point last week, not another operating miss. Citi downgraded Ferrovial to Neutral from Buy and dropped its price target to 60 euros from 64.30 euros. The broker also cut Vinci, Ferrovial’s French rival, and said Ferrovial’s stock looked close to fully valued after the recent rally. The note flagged questions about whether the toll-road asset premium is already baked into Ferrovial’s price.

Ferrovial is still in the market for its own stock. The company bought back 368,000 shares between May 19 and May 22, paying a weighted average of 57.64 euros each. That brings total repurchases under its current programme to 4,807,874 shares, costing 279.5 million euros as of May 22. A share buyback cuts shares outstanding or supplies stock for corporate purposes.

Ferrovial’s 400 million euro scrip dividend is in play for shareholders this week. Investors can pick between cash or new shares. The choice window opened May 20 and will close June 2. The company says the share ratio will be set June 11 and payments are due from June 15.

Ferrovial’s bullish outlook is still tied to North America. CEO Ignacio Madridejos said this month the company began 2026 with “strong momentum”, with revenue up in North American highways, progress at JFK’s New Terminal One, and construction profitability all cited. Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% like-for-like to 321 million euros in the first quarter. Revenue was up 10.2% to 2.1 billion euros on the same basis. Securities and Exchange Commission

407 ETR is still a key asset for Ferrovial. In the first quarter, traffic by vehicle kilometres was up 8.2%. Revenue hit C$492 million, climbing 20%. Toll revenue jumped 22.1% with higher prices and volumes. The road cleared a C$500 million dividend for the second quarter.

U.S. managed lanes posted mixed results. NTE saw average revenue per transaction up 18.3%, NTE 35W gained 17.3% and LBJ was up 11.5%. But traffic fell at NTE, LBJ and I-77 for the quarter, with weather and construction mentioned as factors. Stronger pricing but inconsistent traffic has put more focus on the stock’s valuation.

Ferrovial’s index move shifts its investor mix compared to other European infrastructure stocks. The company entered the Nasdaq-100 before the open on Dec. 22, 2025, after launching U.S. trading in May 2024 while keeping its listings in Spain and the Netherlands. Back then, Madridejos said the step would “broaden our shareholder base.” Nasdaq

This is not a one-way bet. Weaker traffic, higher build costs, or shifts in rates and currencies could make investors less keen to pay up for concession assets. Ferrovial warns on inflation, rates, FX, materials, regulation and execution risk in its filings; Citi’s downgrade puts those risks in sharper focus now.

With few events on deck this week, eyes turn to Monday. That’s when markets reopen and investors weigh capital returns and North American toll-road expansion against Citi’s warning about valuation. No earnings on tap—the only dated item is the scrip-dividend election period, which closes June 2.

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