Carvana stock price rises ahead of earnings; options flag a double-digit CVNA swing

Carvana stock price rises ahead of earnings; options flag a double-digit CVNA swing

February 18, 2026

New York, Feb 18, 2026, 13:50 EST — Regular session

  • CVNA climbed roughly 3.5% in afternoon trading, with investors setting up ahead of the company’s earnings report after the bell.
  • Options are pricing in about a 13.5% swing by week-end tied to the report.
  • T. Rowe Price disclosed a 12.6% stake in Carvana as of Dec. 31, according to a new filing.

Carvana Co (CVNA) finished Wednesday up roughly 3.5% at $363.35, swinging between a low of $339.16 and a high of $366.25 during a choppy morning session.

Quarterly numbers from the online used-car retailer hit after the closing bell. With traders piling into short-term options before the release, the mood has stayed edgy. Intraday stock swings only added to the tension.

Unit demand, financing terms, and per-vehicle profit margins are under the microscope—investors want straight answers, no curveballs. With this name, guidance carries the weight.

Options trading is signaling a potential move of around 13.5% either way for the shares by week’s end, based on what traders are shelling out for puts and calls tied to the earnings report. With the stock finishing Tuesday around $351, that suggests a possible range from $304 up to $398.

Carvana plans to post its results after the market closes, with a conference call set for 5:30 p.m. ET.

In an updated Schedule 13G filing, T. Rowe Price Associates disclosed holding 17,787,942 shares in Carvana, giving the firm a 12.6% stake in the company as of Dec. 31.

TipRanks figures show analysts looking for earnings per share around $1.13, with revenue pegged at $5.26 billion. Bank of America’s Mike McGovern kept his buy call but trimmed his target down to $460 from $515, citing slower trade-ins and tougher competition that could pressure gross profit per unit. Over at JPMorgan, Rajat Gupta also stuck to his buy, describing Carvana’s vertically integrated setup as a “key moat that is hard to disrupt.” Jefferies’ John Colantuoni is holding his $550 target; his web-scrape model suggests retail units could hit roughly 164,000, which tops the consensus. TipRanks

CarMax shares jumped 8.6%, leading a broader move higher in used-car and auto retail stocks. AutoNation added 2.5%. ACV Auctions climbed 4.1%. The S&P 500 tracker SPY gained 0.7%, while QQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, advanced 1.1%.

The setup has a downside, too. Should Carvana fall short on volume or margin numbers—or if management stays vague on the hot topics investors are pressing—the options market that’s been bracing for a sharp move could quickly flip into a trapdoor.

Investors are eyeing the upcoming earnings release after the bell, then tuning in for the 5:30 p.m. ET call. They’ll be parsing commentary for any 2026 guidance on unit growth, gross profit per unit, and funding costs.

Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the CEO of TS2 Space and a longtime technology entrepreneur focused on telecommunications, satellite communications and digital innovation. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he writes about space technology, artificial intelligence and publicly traded technology companies. His analysis covers major market trends, emerging technologies and the businesses shaping the future of the global economy.

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