National Grid share price flat as Ofgem cuts UK energy cap; focus shifts to grid costs

February 25, 2026
National Grid share price flat as Ofgem cuts UK energy cap; focus shifts to grid costs

London, February 25, 2026, 09:18 GMT — Regular session.

  • National Grid hovered at 1,372.5 pence in the early going.
  • Ofgem lowered the household energy price cap by 7% for April through June, but warned of increased network charges.
  • Berenberg kept its “neutral” rating in place but bumped the price target up to 1,300 pence, according to MarketScreener. MarketScreener

National Grid plc traded sideways early Wednesday, off 0.5 pence at 1,372.5 pence as of 0917 GMT—a dip of just 0.04%.

The stock lagged even as the FTSE 100 climbed roughly 0.8%, sticking close to its session peak.

Timing is key here: UK energy price news broke before markets opened, pushing investors to scrutinize the makeup of the average bill and spot what’s swelling quickest. Network charges are climbing, a direct result of Britain ramping up transmission upgrades. Those costs funnel straight into the regulated investment cycle for grid operators like National Grid.

Ofgem announced a 7% drop in the energy price cap for April through June, a move set to lower bills for most households. The cut follows a government decision to move some renewable policy charges onto general taxation.

“The main driver of today’s reduction is the change to policy costs announced by the Chancellor in the budget,” said Tim Jarvis, Ofgem’s markets director general. Reuters

On the flip side, the regulator pointed out that network costs are climbing—up by £66 compared to the previous cap period. That’s as new levies tied to a £24 billion transmission upgrade begin to kick in, Reuters reported.

National Grid shareholders face a familiar dilemma: ramped-up grid investment could grow assets, yet actual returns hinge on regulatory decisions and the pace of cost recovery. The company runs electricity and gas networks in Britain, with additional regulated business in the U.S. northeast.

Brokers pushing the “bigger grids” angle are starting to show their hands. Andrew Fisher at Berenberg stuck with a neutral rating but bumped his price target up to 1,300 pence from 1,070 pence, according to MarketScreener on Tuesday. MarketScreener

European grid operators are sounding bullish on investment, with electrification and data centers driving the agenda. E.ON plans to ramp up spending to 48 billion euros for the 2026-2030 period. CEO Leonhard Birnbaum cited growing complexity, saying the system is “larger, more decentralized, and more complex.” Reuters

Still, there’s a risk on the horizon. If political forces push to cap bills, that can stiffen oversight on network fees and squeeze permitted returns. Plus, higher capex might run straight into pricier financing if rate expectations shift in the markets.

Market attention turns to utilities and network stocks following the Ofgem update, as investors gauge movement for the rest of the session. April 1 marks the start of the new price cap period; that’s when increased network costs begin appearing on bills.

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