London, Feb 26, 2026, 08:32 GMT — Regular session
Rio Tinto (RIO.L) slipped 1.3% to 7,364 pence as of 0831 GMT on Thursday, pulling back after Wednesday’s jump while London markets opened up. Shares moved in a 7,336-7,515 pence range, hovering near the 52-week high of 7,557. 1
The retreat follows a rapid surge that’s narrowed Rio’s valuation gap with its competitors, prompting a more cautious tone from brokers. Barclays lowered its rating on Rio to “Equal Weight” and trimmed the price target to 6,600 pence, citing seasonal patterns in iron ore and what the bank described as the stock’s closest valuation spread to BHP since 2020. 2
This matters since Rio’s stock tends to move with the broader swings in metals prices and headline risks, not on specifics of the business. “Investors remained fragile,” noted Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank. Copper’s gains gave miners a boost earlier this week, but tariff concerns haven’t faded. 3
Iron ore’s role is shifting, with politics taking center stage. Market attention is on the latest talks between top miners and China Minerals Resources Group (CMRG), the state-backed buyer, as observers look for any sign of price pressure. Australia’s resources minister Madeleine King called iron ore “the bedrock of the economy.” BHP CEO Mike Henry described this year’s negotiations as “a little bit wider” than previous rounds. 4
Rio finished Wednesday at 7,461 pence, up roughly 2.6%. The stock notched a fresh 52-week high, MarketWatch’s delayed LSE quote showed. 5
This week, the company submitted standard insider dealing documents. According to a regulatory filing, Matt Holcz, who heads the iron ore division, picked up vested shares via an incentive plan, selling a portion to handle taxes and deductions. 6
Rio’s annual numbers landed last week, and investors are still running the math. Underlying earnings came in at $10.87 billion for 2025, with a final dividend of 254 U.S. cents per share. Copper stood out, but iron ore continued to drag. “A good result, perhaps as not as impressive as BHP,” commented Andy Forster at Argo Investments. 7
Simon Trott, chief executive, is pointing to both the dividend and the balance sheet as a kind of ballast while the company reshuffles its portfolio. “Our strong cash flow and balance sheet enable us to sustain a 60% payout ratio,” he said in a statement. 8
But this trade flips fast. Softer iron ore prices—maybe China pulls back, maybe supply gets tighter—would mean Rio’s earnings are still more iron-heavy than the copper story lets on. And with the stock sitting close to its highs, bad news doesn’t get much slack.
There’s a few dates on traders’ radar. Rio’s ordinary shares go ex-dividend March 5, ADRs follow a day later on March 6. The company notice points to an April 16 payout. 9
