Woolworths steady at A$38 as traders look to August margin view

Woolworths steady at A$38 as traders look to August margin view

June 15, 2026

Sydney, June 16, 2026, 07:06 AEST

  • Woolworths Group closed at A$38.23 on June 15, down 0.10% on the session. The stock traded from A$37.95 to A$38.46 over the day. Woolworths Group
  • S&P/ASX 200 added 1.25% to 8,914.01. Woolworths traded weaker and trailed the index as stocks climbed. S&P Global
  • The August full-year result is up next. Investors are watching to see if sales and cost cuts are enough as fuel costs, price-freeze moves, and New Zealand weigh on results.

Woolworths Group Ltd. (WOW) finished lower as the broader Australian market pushed higher on Monday. WOW closed at A$38.23, down 0.10% at 4:36 p.m. AEST. The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.25%, leaving Woolworths trailing the benchmark. Shares in the supermarket chain have rebounded from their 2026 lows, but on a session like this, defensive stocks often lag when investors aren’t looking for safety and want to see stronger numbers on margins and earnings. Woolworths Group

Woolworths did not provide any new trading update in its latest ASX filings. On June 15, filings were routine and mostly involved securities notices. At 10:59 a.m., an Appendix 3G showed only 7,037 ordinary fully paid shares issued or transferred after share rights vested, out of more than 1.22 billion shares outstanding. That’s too small to have much effect on dilution. It’s hard to see this notice alone driving any share price moves. Australian Securities Exchange

Woolworths bulls are sticking with the stock after fresh numbers showed group sales climbed 4.5% in the third quarter to A$18.1 billion. Australian Food was up 5.9%. Online jumped higher, with group e-commerce sales up 20.2%. The company says these online gains, along with delivery and loyalty offers, could keep shoppers coming back if profit margins last. “Making every dollar count and becoming a more efficient and resilient business” is the go-forward plan, CEO Amanda Bardwell said. She connected the sales rebound to tighter cost controls, a point on investors’ radar.

Margin risk is front and center. EBIT, or earnings before interest and tax, measures operating profit before finance charges and taxes. Woolworths stuck with its mid-to-high single-digit EBIT growth guidance for Australian Food in fiscal 2026, but is no longer saying it can reach the top of that range. The company pointed to direct fuel expenses and customer support moves—including a price freeze—as reasons. For New Zealand, Woolworths expects second-half Food EBIT in NZD to be slightly under last year. Shares climb when investors believe in higher future profits or are willing to pay more for them. They fall if costs rise, if the outlook gets cloudier, or if risks start to pile up.

Woolworths shares don’t look cheap now, with some analysts considering the stock fairly valued or even carrying some risk. The average 12-month price target from Investing.com sits at A$34.836, based on analyst estimates between A$31.50 and A$39. That’s the range for where analysts expect Woolworths to go in the next year. Shares last changed hands near A$38.23, already factoring in much of a recovery story. Woolworths is due to update markets with its fiscal 2026 full-year results in August. Investors are watching for updates on Australian Food, e-commerce and efficiency, and if those strengths can hold up margins. Investing

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