IAG shares trail FTSE with investors watching fuel cost pass-through before Q2

IAG edges lower on FTSE, fuel price drop does little for thin trading

July 4, 2026

LONDON, July 4, 2026, 20:03 BST

  • IAG closed at 477.50p on Friday, off 0.31%, with 5.48 million shares traded. That’s well under the usual 17.55 million average volume.
  • The stock lost 1.1% last week. The FTSE 100 rose 1.6%. Global jet fuel dropped 2.1% to $116.63 a barrel.
  • EasyJet’s takeover deadline hits on July 5, while IAG’s Q2 update is expected July 31. UK airline news may pick up then.

International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (LON:IAG) dipped Friday, leaving the market looking to next week for signs if lower jet-fuel prices will keep shares near their June top. Investors wait to see how much of this year’s fuel costs the British Airways parent can push through.

IAG ended Friday at 477.50p, dropping 1.50p, or 0.31%. The stock started at 476.50p. Google Finance reported volume of 5.48 million shares, well under a 17.55 million average. On-book turnover via the London Stock Exchange was about 19.8 million pounds.

The stock ended 3.1% under the 52-week high of 492.90p from June 25, but it’s still up about 44% from the 52-week low of 332.70p. The difference stands out because Friday’s drop was thin on both size and volume, yet the stock still fell behind the FTSE 100 this week.

Last week snapshotFriday close / latestClose-to-close week moveWhat mattered
IAG477.50p-1.1%Friday was a quiet day, but shares are still trading close to the 52-week high.
FTSE 10010,679.03+1.6%The FTSE booked a weekly gain as financials and miners rallied.
EasyJet (LON:EZJ)Friday saw a 545p low, Reuters saidNearly -7%Castlelake now faces a July 5 bid-or-walk deadline.

Jet fuel costs are the clearer signal for IAG than the share price headline. The International Air Transport Association said average global jet fuel fell 2.1% last week to $116.63 a barrel, using Platts data. That brings some relief, though IAG’s warning from May is still in place.

IAG, in its Q1 report, said its 2026 fuel bill is set to be around 9.0 billion euros using the May 5 fuel curve. The company is 70% hedged for the rest of the year. IAG expects to offset about 60% of the extra fuel costs by raising revenue and cutting costs. The group also lowered its expected capacity growth to roughly 1% for Q2 and about 2% for Q3.

IAG’s fuel bill doesn’t move in real time. The company said around 60% of its fuel use is locked in earlier contracts, before the month starts. About 40% is priced in the same month. Spot price drops don’t show up right away—they filter through with a delay.

IAG CEO Luis Gallego said in May the company’s transatlantic business “remains in place,” according to Reuters. That’s still the main support for IAG shares: British Airways and Iberia have more premium long-haul customers than short-haul airlines, which run into more pushback on fares. Reuters

easyJet is facing near-term sector risk. Reuters said Friday that easyJet shares dropped almost 7% this week before Castlelake’s Sunday deadline. Barclays analyst Andrew Lobbenberg pointed to broker downgrades and some holders booking profits, calling it a “modest reduction” in the implied chance of a deal. Reuters

Fuel and calendar checksLatest stated figureInvestor question
Global jet fuel$116.63/bbl, down 2.1% week on weekWill lower fuel stretch into autumn?
IAG 2026 fuel guideAbout 9.0 billion eurosShould the July 31 update reduce the risk?
IAG hedge position70% hedged for rest of yearDoes the hedge slow any gain from spot fuel dropping?
IAG cost recovery targetAround 60% of higher fuel costAre fares still sticking post summer?

Looking at the week, all eyes in UK airlines are on Sunday’s easyJet deadline, which is the main sentiment driver for now. For IAG, the milestone to watch is further out. The company’s financial calendar puts its Q2 2026 event on July 31.

Mateusz Ługowik

Mateusz Ługowik is a senior markets reporter at Bez-kabli.pl, specializing in technology stocks, artificial intelligence and global financial markets. A graduate of the University of Gdańsk, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key trends, companies and innovations influencing investors worldwide.

Stock Market Today

  • First Guardian, Shield investors eye class action after $1B in losses
    July 4, 2026, 3:42 PM EDT. First Guardian and Shield investors who lost close to $1 billion are weighing a class action to try to get their full money back. First Guardian's collapse left 6,000 investors out $446 million. Netwealth paid $100 million to 1,000 of those, but that left out any lost opportunity or growth. On the Shield side, about 5,800 investors had $480 million put in, with Macquarie sending out partial repayments. Gordon Legal, with James Naughton leading, is looking into claims that investors missed out on compensation for the time their super was locked up, arguing that lost growth wasn't replaced. Regulators say they're watching a move to self-managed super funds, which have looser controls.