National Grid eases after UK grid plan favors NGET for 88% of options

National Grid shares gain after Joulent AI deal stirs debate over capex impact

July 3, 2026

London, July 3, 2026, 12:05 BST

  • National Grid traded 0.94% higher at 1,241.50p/1,242.00p in midday London trade, with the FTSE 100 off 0.31%.
  • Shares bounced back from the 1,230.5p mark seen after the July 1 Joulent announcement, which sent the stock down 1.4%.
  • The $1.75 billion Joulent check is around 2% of National Grid’s overall five-year plan, but it’s close to 130% of National Grid Ventures’ current capex share, based on the firm’s $1.35/£ planning rate.

National Grid plc (LON:NG) traded higher at midday in London on Friday, bucking a lower FTSE 100. The move came as investors weighed its $1.75 billion investment in supplying power to AI data centres for a second time.

AJ Bell showed National Grid trading at 1,241.50p/1,242.00p, up 11.50p, or 0.94%. Volume was 1.15 million shares. Hargreaves Lansdown had the FTSE 100 at 10,620.30, down 32.57 points, or 0.31%.

Midday screenNational GridFTSE 100
Latest quoted level1,241.50p / 1,242.00p10,620.30
Day moveup 11.50p or 0.94%down 32.57, off 0.31%
Open1,242.00p
Session high1,250.50p10,701.32
One-year range1,000.00p to 1,428.50p

No trading update landed in Friday’s RNS releases. National Grid only disclosed a share award for CFO Andy Agg under its LTIP. The Joulent deal announced Wednesday is still the main move for the stock this week.

National Grid said its commercial division is picking up a 35% stake in Joulent LLC, a U.S. operator of contracted power generation and high-voltage assets. Joulent has started with the Kilby project, a 2.67 GW gas plant in West Texas, and is working with Chevron Corporation in a 50/50 split. The plant’s power is set for a Microsoft Corp -run data center campus on a 20-year deal.

The deal doesn’t move the needle for the wider group, but it matters for National Grid Ventures. National Grid’s FY31 plan pointed to at least £70 billion in capital investment, with only about £1 billion of that earmarked for NGV. Using its $1.35 to the pound planning rate, the Joulent stake works out to roughly £1.3 billion.

ItemSizeInvestor read
Joulent stake$1.75 blnAbout £1.3 bln using $1.35 to the pound
Five-year group capex planAt least £70 blnJoulent makes up about 2% of that plan
Existing NGV slice in planc.£1 blnJoulent is roughly 130% of that existing allocation
Market value£61.80 blnJoulent is around 2.1% of the current equity value

The share move is key since National Grid is valued mostly as a regulated network. Buying Joulent puts some U.S. commercial power into the mix, which comes with its own risks and returns. Data-center demand tied to generative AI climbed 17% in 2025, easily outpacing the 3% growth for global electricity, Reuters said.

Chief Executive Zoë Yujnovich called the deal a “disciplined, partner-led investment,” saying it gives National Grid access to a “major source of electricity demand growth.” Joulent founder and CEO Chris James said the funding will support “reliable, large-scale power.” Noelle Walsh, Microsoft’s president of Cloud Operations + Innovation, said rising AI and cloud needs mean energy and infrastructure need to work more closely. National Grid

J.P. Morgan analysts said National Grid Ventures should see higher returns from the investment than the 9%-10% return on equity they look for from regulated networks. They noted the higher risk.

Investors will keep an eye on the funding claim. National Grid closed FY2025/26 carrying £44.2 billion net debt and booked capital investment of £11.6 billion, up 18% on an actual exchange rate basis. The group sees capex of about £13 billion for 2026/27, with underlying EPS projected to rise 13%-15% off a 78.0p base.

National Grid said the project isn’t meant for short-term earnings. Kilby aims to deliver first power in 2028. Reuters reported Joulent may hit free cash flow in the early 2030s, with a final investment decision due by end of 2026. The company said it has already reserved GE Vernova Inc turbines and construction slots.

The stock has a 3.97% dividend yield, according to AJ Bell’s numbers, and trades roughly 13% off its one-year high. The final 32.14p dividend is set to be paid out on July 23.

Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the CEO of TS2 Space and a longtime technology entrepreneur focused on telecommunications, satellite communications and digital innovation. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he writes about space technology, artificial intelligence and publicly traded technology companies. His analysis covers major market trends, emerging technologies and the businesses shaping the future of the global economy.

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