New York, Feb 16, 2026, 17:48 (EST) — The session has ended.
- Caterpillar ended Friday at $774.20, gaining 2.1% before U.S. markets paused for Presidents Day.
- Barclays is set to host CFO Andrew Bonfield as a speaker at its industrial conference on Feb. 18.
- On tap: Fed minutes arrive Feb. 18, with GDP and PCE data—held back earlier—scheduled for Feb. 20.
With U.S. markets shuttered for Presidents Day, Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N) shares took a breather following Friday’s 2.1% jump to $774.20. Trading picks back up Tuesday. 1
This holiday stretch finds Caterpillar caught between two investor debates—a sturdy “big iron” demand story, and the newer buzz around power equipment linked to data centers. With trading days tight, any new headline could move the stock fast.
It matters now: policy signals and incoming economic data are setting the tone for rate expectations, and names like Caterpillar—classic cyclicals—often feel the impact right away. Traders are watching closely. If growth slows but inflation doesn’t really let up, valuations can come under pressure in a hurry.
Caterpillar’s CFO, Andrew Bonfield, is set to take part in a fireside chat at the Barclays Industrial Select Conference in Miami on Feb. 18, kicking off at about 10:25 a.m. EST. The session will be webcast. Investors tend to comb through these conference appearances for any hints on pricing or dealer trends, even if the company sticks to its current guidance. 2
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Jan. 27-28 meeting land at 2 p.m. EST, offering a closer look at the policy debate and potential clues on the next move for interest rates. The central bank’s February schedule, meanwhile, notes Washington’s Birthday as a market holiday—some data releases are bumped to Tuesday. 3
The Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to release its delayed advance estimate for fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 GDP on Feb. 20 at 8:30 a.m. EST. December personal income and outlays—complete with the PCE price index, the Fed’s favored inflation metric—will hit at the same time. The GDP and inflation data can swing sentiment for industrials heading into the next week. 4
Some dates remain unsettled. The Census Bureau’s retail trade release calendar lists the January 2026 report as “to be announced”—a sign that shutdown-driven disruptions are still rippling through the data schedule. 5
Caterpillar’s most recent significant update landed with its late-January earnings. The company flagged roughly $2.6 billion in tariff costs coming in 2026—import taxes that could drag adjusted operating margin down to the low end of its annual target range. CEO Joe Creed cited a bump in orders for “prime power” systems, those hefty generators built for nonstop use, as data-center clients pursue on-site power. But for the quarter, tariff headwinds “limited the margin expansion,” according to Jefferies analyst Stephen Volkmann. 6
CAT’s price tag hands it extra sway on the price-weighted Dow—stocks with heftier share prices punch above their weight there. Among machinery names, Deere and Japan’s Komatsu also tend to react to broad macro shifts. Lately, though, Caterpillar’s power-and-energy angle is stealing more of the spotlight.
The risks aren’t hard to spot. Should tariff pressures intensify or dealer demand falter with financing remaining tough, shares could quickly appear overbought—particularly if upcoming figures on growth and inflation spark new worries about prolonged high rates.
Wall Street gets back to business Tuesday, with traders eyeing a possible rebound before Bonfield’s Barclays slot Wednesday morning. Later that day, the Fed minutes land, and Friday brings both GDP and PCE numbers.
