Tesco share buyback on watch after stock drops from high

Tesco share buyback on watch after stock drops from high

July 4, 2026

LONDON, July 4, 2026, 16:01 BST

  • Tesco PLC closed at 466.60p on Friday, off 1.48% for the session and trading 8.58% below its 52-week high. The FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) moved higher.
  • The £750 million buyback had reached 70.8% completion by July 2. Shares closed Friday 1.0% under the average repurchase price.
  • Tesco’s UK like-for-like sales were up 1.8% in Q1, behind the 2.3% analysts expected. The company kept its profit outlook at £3.0 billion to £3.3 billion.

Tesco PLC heads into Monday trading below the level of its most recent announced buyback. Shares reached a 52-week high this week. Saturday was outside regular hours for the London Stock Exchange, which runs Monday to Friday from 0800 to 1630 BST.

Tesco shares dropped 7.00p to 466.60p on Friday. It’s a minor move over the bigger picture, but stands out because Tesco picked up 4 million shares July 2 at an average 471.47p. That latest buyback is sitting above market, at least until trading starts again.

Stock/indexFriday closeFriday moveWeek move
Tesco PLC 466.60pfell 1.48%up 1.5% for the week
J Sainsbury PLC 335.00pdown 0.65%gained 6.2% over the week
Marks & Spencer Group 383.00pslipped 0.80%added 1.2% this week
FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX)10,679.03rose 0.25%advanced 1.6% this week

Weekly move calculated from June 26 close to July 3 close. Figures in table use closing prices and Reuters’ Friday FTSE market report.

Capital returns are now in sharper focus than the stock’s one-day move. Tesco picked up 116.1 million shares for £530.9 million since this buyback started April 22. That leaves £219.1 million left to use in the £750 million programme.

Buyback measureValueInvestor read
Programme size£750 mlnCurrent buyback plan return
Bought by July 2£530.9 mln70.8% of the allocation used
Shares bought by July 2116.1 mlnThat’s 1.82% of the original share count
Latest disclosed average price471.47p1.0% above Friday’s close
Cash left£219.1 mlnThis would buy close to 47.0 mln shares at 466.60p
Possible total at Friday closeAbout 163.1 mln sharesThat’s about 2.55% of the starting share base

Numbers here are from Tesco’s July 3 RNS and Friday’s closing price. The share count starts at 6.269 billion, which is what’s left after the buyback on July 2 and adds in shares canceled already.

This is in focus because Tesco’s sales aren’t beating forecasts like before. Reuters said on June 18 that UK like-for-like sales rose 1.8% for the 13 weeks to May 30, missing analysts’ 2.3% call and slowing from 3.1% in the quarter before. CEO Ken Murphy said last year’s gains were “truly exceptional” and described the Q1 drop as “not a sign of a slowdown per se.” Garry White at Charles Stanley said keeping guidance “should reassure investors” as Tesco balances profit and competition. Reuters

Tesco’s transcript handed bulls new numbers to chew on. The company reported fresh food like-for-like sales up 3.6%, its Finest line up 9%, online sales up 8.9%, and Whoosh sales climbing more than 30%. CEO Murphy said Tesco “broadly held our own” on market share for the quarter. CFO Imran Nawaz said, “we aim to grow profits every single year.”

Operating read-throughTescoSainsburyInvestor read
Q1 like-for-like salesUK up 1.8%Excluding fuel up 2.1%Sainsbury grew faster on the topline
Food measureFresh food up 3.6%Grocery up 3.6%Food growth lines matched
Non-foodDown 0.5%General merchandise and clothing off 3.7%, Argos down 0.5%Tesco saw a smaller discretionary hit
Market share citedAbove 28%15.3%Tesco leads on UK scale
Profit guide£3.0bn-£3.3bn adjusted operating profit£975m-£1.075bn underlying operating profitGuidance held for both

Sainsbury’s reported numbers for the 16 weeks to June 20, while Tesco’s Q1 was for 13 weeks to May 30—so they’re not directly comparable. What matters for investors is the sales mix. Reuters reported that around a quarter of Sainsbury’s sales come from non-food. That gives Sainsbury’s more exposure to weak discretionary spending than Tesco.

Sainsbury’s shares still finished the week ahead. Its June 30 update helped calm some sector concerns, and CEO Simon Roberts said sales got a big lift from the heatwave. Tesco is working its convenience and Whoosh offerings, but its shares also have to deal with the buyback price impact.

Pricing is another risk for the week ahead. Murphy told analysts food inflation eased over the past year, with Q1 coming in below Q4, driven by lower prices in dairy, coffee, and cocoa. Nawaz said the market was “fairly rational across the board.” That matters, because Tesco’s £500 million Save to Invest target is supposed to let the retailer wait longer and keep prices below rivals.

Tesco has an early hurdle Monday: can the stock move back above 471.47p, the company’s last buyback average? The other test is the weather. Sainsbury’s is bracing for more hot weather next week, Roberts said, which should show how UK grocers handle volume before Tesco’s formal update.

Konrad Wysocki

Konrad Wysocki is a senior markets reporter at Bez-kabli.pl, specializing in technology stocks, artificial intelligence and global financial markets. A graduate of the University of Rzeszów, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key trends, companies and innovations influencing investors worldwide.

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