Student loan SAVE delay shifts investor focus to $485 billion forbearance pool

Trump student-loan court calls check private lender gains as PSLF knocked down

July 1, 2026

Washington, July 1, 2026, 09:01 EDT

  • Two federal judges blocked the Trump administration’s changes to Public Service Loan Forgiveness just before the plan was set to start July 1. The program has already canceled loans for over 1 million Americans.
  • A court order also put advanced nursing, physical therapy and other programs into the “professional” category for now, letting federal borrowing go up to $200,000, double the $100,000 cap for graduate programs. AP News
  • Private lenders issued over $14.7 billion in private student loans in 2024 at six large firms, a Democratic Senate report said, citing data from lenders. The health-program ruling reduces some of the near-term funding gap for them.
  • U.S. regular equity trading was not yet open as of the dateline. Nasdaq’s regular session is 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET. NYSE is closed July 3 for Independence Day.

WASHINGTON – Federal judges handed President Donald Trump two setbacks on his student-loan plans: public servants can still pursue loan forgiveness claims, and some graduate health students will for now keep access to higher federal loan limits.

The key number is the $100,000 gap. Federal rules now set most grad borrowing at $100,000, but professional degrees can go as high as $200,000. Shifting a program to professional status cuts back the private-loan need after Grad PLUS borrowing ends for new students.

Sofi Technologies Inc , SLM Corp or Sallie Mae, Navient Corp , Citizens Financial Group Inc , Nelnet Inc , and College Ave all have something at stake. According to a February report from Democratic senators relying on lender data, those six together issued more than $14.7 billion in private student loans in 2024.

Under Secretary of Education Nicholas Kent said the department will follow the health-program order for now as it challenges it in court. “We will continue to make the case that the definition is both lawful and appropriate,” Kent told AP. On the loan forgiveness case, Kent said the department stands by its policy that taxpayer money shouldn’t go to illegal activity. AP News

Federal loan limits under the July 1 plan:

Borrower or program groupFederal cap before latest court shiftStatus after latest orders
Most graduate programs$20,500 a year; $100,000 aggregateNo broad change
Professional programs$50,000 a year; $200,000 aggregateNo broad change
Advanced nursing, nurse anesthesia, physical therapy, speech-language pathology, physician assistant and some allied-health programsListed as graduate programs in the disputed definitionClassed temporarily as professional programs
Parent PLUS loans$20,000 a year; $65,000 aggregate per dependent studentNo change named in the court order

The Education Department’s temporary list has 29 professional-degree programs. Schools on the list include Master of Science in Nursing, Doctor of Nursing Practice, Doctor of Nurse Anesthesia Practice, physical therapy, athletic training, speech-language pathology, physician assistant, and anesthesiologist assistant programs. Theology, certain psychology areas, and pharmacy were removed, but the Master of Divinity is still there.

The PSLF decision affected another area of the debt system. U.S. District Judge Myong Joun in Boston threw out a rule that would have allowed the Education Department to deny loan forgiveness if a worker’s employer had a “substantial illegal purpose.” U.S. District Judge Amir Ali in Washington issued a similar decision, according to AP. AP News

A new rule set for July 1 would hit groups the administration links to illegal immigration, terrorism, certain discrimination cases, and gender-affirming care for minors. The PSLF program, started in 2007 by Congress, wipes out federal student debt after 10 years for people in public or nonprofit jobs.

Joun wrote, “The Department cannot create new criminal prohibitions through rulemaking.” He also asked why such a sweeping rule was needed if the department believes no more than 10 employers a year could be breaking the law. Diane Yentel, CEO of the National Council of Nonprofits, said the ruling “a win for the communities that depend on local nonprofits.” AP News

Private lender numbers point to why the cap battle could matter for investors. The February Senate Democrats’ report listed these numbers from lenders:

Lender2022 private student lending2024 private student lendingChange
SoFi Technologies Inc $2.2 bln$3.8 blnup 73%
SLM Corp / Sallie Mae $6.0 bln$7.0 blnup 17%
Navient Corp $2.05 bln$1.47 blndown 28%
College Ave$1.45 bln$2.48 blnup 71%
Nelnet Inc $0.0098 bln$0.033 blnup 237%

The court order doesn’t wipe out demand for private loans. Grad PLUS loans are going away for many new grad and professional students, Parent PLUS loans are getting new caps, and some programs still cost more than what the new federal limits cover. For health programs, a temporary professional tag moves some of that borrowing back to federal loans, where borrowers get more protections.

Sarah Austin, a policy analyst at the National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators, told Axios students in programs over the new caps could end up with private debt, but said “private loans are riskier” and don’t have the federal protections. Betsy Mayotte, who runs the Institute of Student Loan Advisors, said Parent PLUS borrowers have been reaching out after relying on income-driven repayment plans that are going away. Axios

Schools aren’t required to raise loan caps right away. Federal Student Aid said institutions can move temporarily professional programs to higher annual limits, but also told schools they might want to keep graduate-level caps for now while litigation plays out, to avoid disruption. The department said more changes could come depending on how the case ends.

Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the CEO of TS2 Space and a longtime technology entrepreneur focused on telecommunications, satellite communications and digital innovation. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he writes about space technology, artificial intelligence and publicly traded technology companies. His analysis covers major market trends, emerging technologies and the businesses shaping the future of the global economy.

Stock Market Today

  • South East Lags UK in House Price Growth
    July 1, 2026, 9:40 AM EDT. South East England home prices are posting the slowest growth anywhere in Britain. The result is stirring talk about the North-South property gap again, with warnings to Andy Burnham that policy moves might be widening the difference. The slowdown has buyers, sellers and politicians watching for signs of a shift in the market's outlook on regional growth.